[D] 伊拉克停止石油出口
53. The estimates in Economic Outlook show that in rich countries
[A] heavy industry becomes more energy-intensive.
[B] income loss mainly results from fluctuating crude oil prices.
[C] manufacturing industry has been seriously squeezed.
[D] oil price changes have no significant impact on GDP.
[答案] D
[解题思路]
关于Economic Outlook的对应信息在文章的第四段“The OECD estimates in its latest Economic Outlook that, it oil prices averaged $22 a barrel for a full year, compared with $13 in 1998, this would increase the oil import bill in rich economies by only 0.25-0.5% of GDP”(国际经合组织在最近一期的《经济展望》报告中估计，如果油价持续一年维持在每桶22美元左右，与1998年的每桶13美元相比，这也只会使发达国家的石油进口增加占GDP的0.25%～0.5%)。0.25%～0.5%的进口百分比说明即使国际油价上涨，也不会对GDP有很大的影响，因而D是正确选项。
[题目译文]
《经济展望》的预测说明在富国 。
[A] 重工业变得更加能源密集型
[B] 收入的损失主要是由于原油价格波动造成的
[C] 制造业规模已经严重缩小
[D] 石油价格变动对于国内生产总值的影响不大
